Wildland Urban Interface Perimeter External Firewall System:
Wildfire Lithoshield
Housing Alternatives
Quick Wildfire Quench!

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Palisades - Eaton - Fires
Lessons Learned




Lockdown! Burndown! Window of Wind - - Updated 3/26/2025



Kicked in the gut. Wildfire evacuation. Locked in with neighbors and strangers trying to keep a safe distance in tight temporary shelter. Thick, muddy smoke defines the orange sky. The smell of burning trees, leaves and things that are not supposed to burn. Acid fumes. Looking for CWPP ideas? Ready for Climate Change? Solution #1: Quick Wildfire Quench (QWQ)! Partner Opportunities.



tank muraal art

How many new dedicated emergency reserves water tanks do we need in our Los Angeles County?

Wildfires only first became a concern to Los Angeles in 1884 when flooding from eroded hillsides wiped out the track system of the Southern Pacific Railroad in the Los Angeles area, which history is reported by the Los Angeles Regional Fire Safe Council. Wildfires in the mountains north of Los Angeles were considered more of an attraction than a threat, especially at night. Authorities finally banned needless fires and even threatened to prosecute offenders.

Now is the time for another serious step, not to disregard so many advances already accomplished in firefighting technology, tools, laws, standards, strategies and sacrifices made by professional firefighters and volunteers

Now we see many more people in our stretched out megalopolis, more housing developments in the wildlands urban interface (WUI), 100 mph winds, desiccated vegetation, insufficient water resources where needed, no backup plan when our normal strategies can’t match the challenge at the critical moment of need. Time is everything when people are trying to evacuate and roads are jammed. Lives lost. Mercilessly. Time is everything in firefighting 101. Time and water in the right places. Water pressure.

Let’s look at some solutions. Reality that can work, if we bite the bullet. The cost of freedom from frantic fire.

If damaged by wildfire, build back better, stronger, greener and safer, much - mucho safer!
Do you protect your home from too much winds?? Time to Balance the scales?



We know that fire departments across the state already use a sophisticated AI tool, run by UC San Diego, that can detect fires in video footage and LIDAR data so they can respond quickly to flames. Now we also know that ALERTCalifornia, as it is called, and which deploys more than 1,144 cameras and sensor arrays that capture live video around the clock, also took some terrific footage of the Palisades Fire and the Eaton Fire.

In the recent past, we also have read about ALERTCalifornia’s success with several fires including the recent Black Star Canyon fire, where the system alerted the Orange County Fire Authority at 2 a.m., enabling firefighters to douse the fire and contain it to less than a quarter-acre.

Unfortunately, although the Los Angeles video operations were a success, the wild elements outpaced our water and retardant chemicals, blowing in the nearly 100 mph winds. You can’t safely and accurately drop water and chemicals where they need to be with gale wind speeds.

Camera Coverage
Looking at ALERTCallifornia camera views from Catalina Island, we notice three cameras on Catalina island and very few on the mainland coast. There are also three cameras at the upper edge of the 2025 Fire Perimeters (press button for that view) near Dark Canyon. None closer to the beach until you get to Santa Monica and the SM Freeway (zoom in and out on map). One question is whether we could have acquired earlier warnings with cameras focused specifically on the devastated canyons from a closer coastal vantage point. Don't know if an oil rig platform is nearby, or we could build a few special platforms to focus especially on the Santa Monica mountains viewed from the coast?

News reports from NewsNation and other media indicate that the first 911 call for the Palisades Fire came in at 10:29 on Jan. 7, 2025. According to CBS, the location was reportedly near a recent New Years Eve fire called the Lachman Fire, which was limited to eight acres and did not destroy structures. Apparently, 911 calls preceded any notification alerts from ALERTCallifornia cameras. Several resources have indicated a hiking trail near Skull Rock may be the likely starting place as reported by the LA Times. This location is more central to the burn area and more visible to several cameras. In this case, the strong Santa Ana winds may have contributed to the fire's rapid descent to the shoreline below. Before jumping to conclusions, it would be good to know:

  1. Which ALERTCalifornia camera location, if any, first identified the Palisades Fire, and at what time?
  2. Where was the recorded fire at that time (distance from the burning beach)?
  3. How many acres had already been consumed?
  4. At what time was the fire department first alerted by ALERTCalifornia?
  5. Where and at what time did any additional ALERTCalifornia cameras also first record parts of this fire?
  6. How can we replay those camera scenes of critical interest?
Of course we know there are mountain ranges all along our California coast. A couple of cameras on the Santa Cruz Island would be helpful, as well. In addition to more coastal cameras, we may also need to enhance our visual data with aerial cameras from dedicated satelites? The angle of the dangle.

The entire ALERTCalifornia system is a beautiful, efficient and existential system as our world climate approaches the boiling point. We just need more cameras and views in logical places, based on practical needs, not politics.

Back to the drawing board. If we can’t control the wind speeds and we can’t seem to make rain clouds when and where we need to, one thing we can do is deploy windbreak fences in logical places near the structures where we live and work. Maybe some dangerous micro-climates should simply be avoided? There are also some new AI technologies that can also possibly help in the near future and with a little more investments. Don’t think boiling ocean water to make rain clouds is going to work, either. Nor rain dances!

Let's take another look at Windbreaks? and forensic clues?

The season of accumulated heat focused by the summer solstice and swelling for weeks thereafter is sealed into our valleys and basins with a thick-skin greenhouse lid. Deep oceans slowly warm but miserly collect each calorie donated by the sun. The same calories that energize photosynthesis and help to feed nearly all life, all food chains on planet three, our home. A mammoth battery of raw heat. One that floats and radiates in all directions. Seasonal predictions iffy, at best. El Nino. La Nina. The fire season of concern especially to those living in Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) areas, regions of increasing density, despite the risks.

Added pressure like a nozzle squirting hot wind and embers through every gap, every dip, cut or groove the stoic, precipitous topography defines along its ridges and insets. Creating wind vectors along the edges like old-fashioned bellows . Blowtorch valleys like the Thomas Fire in 2018.


Not a new story for California and other western states. Waves of heat at times capriciously dancing with our coastal eddies and inviting ferocious firestorms to join the mix. Even our coastlines are not outside the playground of wayward wildfires. Witness Malibu 2018, the Woolsey Fire. Call it El Diablo. Call it Santa Ana. A generic dome of pressure. They come and go. Seasonal. But they always come back, sometimes to the same places and somehow causing more damages and losses of life than ever thought possible. Regardless of the initial causes and locations, most of the damage is ballooned by wind, which we know is only magnified by atmospheric pressure and the climate change of today. The wind. Predictable, though unprecedented. Not a reasonable excuse for damage claims today, nor any time this decade.

The blessing of fertile valleys and magnificent forests and mountain crests now challenged by unprecedented climate change. Posing hazards we have evidently not yet learned to manage in a safe and sustainable manner. The only surprise is when the season is not quite as bad as the last. The foreseeable future, not kind to the imagination. In some parts of the country, building standards are designed to protect against hurricanes and tornadic winds. Wind fences are used in agriculture to mitigate topsoil erosion and to protect cattle. Coal mines are often surrounded by wind fences to protect the community from harmful dust and particulates. Sound walls are required in urban areas to protect people nearby from noisy freeways. No standards have yet to be established to protect communities against invasive storms of firebrands.

But we are not helpless. We have learned to protect ourselves from the coronavirus with face-masking, careful spacing in social activities and good hygiene. Larger families especially need to plan ahead. Whether we are hillside dwellers, home builders, land developers, firefighters, energy providers, nature conservationists or wildland managers, there are daily agendas to make us all safer. Removing leaves, weeds and other flammables around our homes is also a type of hygiene to keep everyone safe every day, not just once or twice a week or month. Simple wind fences around our homes can mitigate both wind and firebrands. Be your own daily fire inspector inside your dwelling and around the perimeter including over the fences and out back. Team up with a friendly neighbor to cross-inspect your domains and see from a different perspective.

Does the risk of wildfire hazards in mountainous terrains outweigh the pandemic health risks of dense populations in central city housing developments and towering apartment structures? Do essential workers enjoy the options of suburban housing and sparsely distributed housing in the wildlands? The economics of modern human survival in this era of anthropomorphic ecology and housing logistics. And then the unhoused?


There are no firewalls between housing units. Once a dwelling catches fire in a hillside development, the structure generously provides fuel that ignites each neighbor like dominos. Solid vanity walls may provide some control for direct radiant heat, but they also pose a dangerous lever to catapult hot winds, flames and firebrands between neighbors, unless they are topped with a firebrand shield. This low-cost screen can significantly reduce the fuel load, wind speed and firebrand spread throughout the neighborhood, although there is no way to filter out all firebrands from every location in all directions. Do the best you can. Like a face mask, protect your home from airborne threats with ember filters and wind fences. Get your neighbors to cooperate. Make sure your tennis court windscreens are fire resistant and optimized for ember filtering (not vinyl). Install more tennis courts and basketball courts with windscreens wherever space is available. The optimum recreational firebreak! Similar screens may be hung discretely on cables from nearby trees to filter dangerous firebrands. Just make sure they do not excessively hinder the passage of fauna, birds and flying insects.

If you’ve ever flown a kite on a hilltop, you will know that a simple firebreak without any fencing is an open invitation to welcome winds, smoke, embers, wildfires and anything lofted by the wind. And once they push off the hillside, the winds will rise and fall turbulently on the other side, a mountain wave effect, bringing their particulate passengers with them. At times you may have been frustrated seeing your kite suddenly tumble to the ground with a downdraft. Imagine what this turbulence may promote in your back yard? A little fencing with a fine-wire mesh can not only siphon off energy and heat by direct resistance, but also entangle all the firebrands that hit the fence. A solid wall in an open space or hillside will help to absorb radiant heat and flames, but wind and firebrands will hop over with turbulence, much like a mini-mountain wave, unless it is especially designed for wildfires, like the lithoshield, for example.

Structure protection , keywords that prioritize humanity’s domain within wildfire events, protect property, save lives. The means of gaining control in the wildlands involves bulldozing and ripping out fuel sources to forge a safe firebreak. Within our domains, however, you can’t just flatten a row of houses to protect others. Fire retardants often help, and hotshot aircraft pilots do the best they can to target vulnerable structures. Brave crews, often bolstered with help from our prisons, provide essential work by hand. Windblown spot fires spring up, analogous to Coronavirus cases in microclimates around the globe today. Wind, human mobility and carelessness, common vectors.

During the volatile skirmish, you know we’re at a loss when even an eight-lane freeway doesn’t stop the advance of flames and firebrands. Heavy winds and the absence of wind controlling fences or firebrand filters in place. Dozers and crews look for cover! No backup plan here. Casualty count deepens. Adding to the tragedy, many responsible safety officers and land managers continue to focus blame on the wind yet offer no acknowledgement nor assume responsibility for the fact that available wind control tools are seldom if ever implemented. Climate change and excessive winds are no excuse when appropriate measures have not been applied to adapt, to directly resist the winds and resist wildfires, in addition to addressing our responsibility to lessen our individual and collective carbon footprints. How does controlled burning or prescribed burning help with climate change? Climate change and extreme weather is nothing new unless you live under a rock. And for those of us on the surface, we know the predictions. No news here either.

Even though ember screens can only passively cover a limited stream of wind, during a firestorm a large volume of air can be efficiently treated with the windy work provided by nature. This includes filtering nearly all firebrands that are streamed through the mesh, cooling the air and slowing it down by the screen’s resistance. All captured embers, which may number in the millions, will be quickly and permanently neutralized. Although many embers may pass overhead, the lower-level intruders are more threatening due to closer proximity with structures and fuels at the lowest levels. Strategically, a prime target for wildfire resistance, whether the embers initiated from nearby trees or your next-door neighbor’s wooden fence or roof.

Appraising our individual carbon footprints is as important as it is to demand institutional and industrial change, as well. Maybe living in or near the mountains or wildlands is not reasonably sustainable. We each have choices to consider making things safer for ourselves and our neighbors. Every day matters. Every life matters. Every leaf and weed matters, especially in high-risk areas. The powerful, yet intimate winds. Highways for migrating birds. Vectors of hope. Vectors of oxygen, pollen, pheromones, embers and pandemics. Sometimes messy or overwhelming. Can we not learn to manage at least some waves of winds for our own protection and survival? Can slowing down winds reduce fanning and funneling flames towards domestic structures and also curtail the trajectory of firebrands and Coronavirus particles? Can we not protect our human domains with wind control infrastructure, regardless of the countless numbers of wildland acres that are remotely charred? What opportunities can you visualize and address to resist wildfire assaults within your window of wind? Do you see wind treatment enhanced vanity walls and firebreaks as a necessity for your safety, including wind fencing and ember filters?

Is now the time to go to the next step and officially map unsafe wildland-interface zones that should only be inhabited or developed with adequate protective safety wind fences, windscreens and ember filters? Standards to live by. If not now, when? If worried, tell your state or federal rep or senator, as well as those candidates running for office or re-election, you need wind and firebrand protection, especially fire-resistant windscreens between housing units to prevent domino conflagrations. Pronto! Make your vote and contributions count! Describe the hazards that concern you in your area, including recent severe wind and wildfire events. Tell your neighbors there’s hope on the horizon by simple infrastructure improvements. (Don’t forget to don your mask when chatting with your neighbors).

Executive summary:  

Does your wildfire mitigation plan (WMP) include wind control and ember protection fencing? We need more than firebreaks and vegetation clearance. For wildfire protection in high wildfire hazard risk areas, a comprehensive wildfire mitigation plan should include wind control and ember screens and fences as well as fortified and hardened building assets, in addition to adequate defensible space by brush and vegetation treatment. To fully integrate wildfire and wind mitigation, upgrade to W2MP standards. Communities in Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) areas in or near federally managed wildlands should also include ember protection fencing in their Community Wildfire Protection Plan (CWPP) with partial funding participation by federal funds. All residents may participate in the planning process.

For gated communities, observatories, communication towers, and irreplaceable structures like the Getty Museum, we need a comprehensive wildfire lithoshield devoted to protect a community of homes or structures and campuses, not just one property, which system may include features like a subterranean heat sink, horizontal heat flue, superior sprinkler system with robotic nozzles, automatic emergency notification, firebrand screens, windbreaks, emberbreaks and more. We call this ultimate solution a Wildfire Lithoshield.

Our traditional methods are no match for increased winds and heat driven by climate change. A simple 6-ft wall will only serve as a convenient lever for wind-driven wildfires to catapult the flames, heat and firebrands into the interior. Do-It-Yourself measures to improve the safety of existing walls are suggested, as are adding emberbreaks to sound walls on highways. Your own personal wildfire mitigation plan for your home is incomplete without wind control improvements such as wind-ember fences, even if not officially required by local jurisdictions.

Gated communities without comprehensive external firewalls offer little protection against the greatest hazards in hillside communities. Developers and architects should be held to a higher standard in areas with histories of wildfires. The threat of pyro-terrorists attacks creates a national security risk against valuable military assets, scientific resources and observatories and our overall economic stability, much like what occurred with the Twin-Tower 911 disaster.

Unfortunately, wildfire safety standards and mitigation plans for California and other states at this time do not include improvements for wind control or wind fencing, although California does prescribe replacing wooden fences with wildfire resistant materials and a good list of other needed mitigation improvements. Also, the wooden fences linked page does include an example of wire mesh with wooden framing. This is a shortcoming that needs to be fixed ASAP! CAL-Fire wake up! A WUI perimeter wildfire lithoshield system and strategically placed wind fences may hopefully be on the drawing boards by urban planners today, especially when rebuilding our scorched earth neighborhoods from previous seasons. It’s time to invest in our wildfire safety infrastructure, including Virtual Magnetic Field Smart Meters (VMFSM) and the Ultimate Plan U - Undergrounding. If not now, when are we going to learn?

To put a damper on Diablo winds and Santa Ana winds, we can also synergistically repurpose wind turbines with strategic location patterns and adding screens and water sprays to hinder the passage of firebrands. Artificial Intelligence (AI) applications may help to accelerate the development of some of the more complex proposed solutions, although wind-ember screens and fences are a no-brainer, especially around your house. Consider your required wildfire mitigation plan (WMP) just a starting point. Then, do what you can to add comprehensive protection improvements. After all, it’s your house, your life! Take command, and help your neighbors, too!

 

1 ) Problem Statement:  

Although most urban developments in WUI areas are protected from wildfires to some degree by firebreaks in nearby wildlands and a defensible space of 100 feet or more in developed lots, as well as noncombustible barriers or walls protecting some residential lots, an external firewall structure in or near the WUI perimeter is absent from the scene.  Here, we explore the idea of a comprehensive lithoshield system or lithoshield devoted to protect a community of homes, not just one property, which system may include features like a subterranean heat sink, horizontal heat flue, superior sprinkler system, automatic emergency notification, firebrand screens,  and more.

What happens when an irresistible wildfire force comes up against an Unsurmountable Lithoshield?  

 

2 ) Research Objective:

The term ‘firewall’ is sometimes used to describe a firebreak in the wildlands.  Now, we beg the question of whether an actual lithoshield structure offers added safety beyond that provided by an area simply cleared of vegetation.  Does a firebreak adorned by a real lithoshield offer more protection than the firebreak by itself?  If so, what specific dimensions, designs, features and enhancements may be critical to improving the potential fire protection promised?  By reducing risks, will insurance rates be reduced?  By reducing risks, will the costs spent on firefighting and ecological losses also be reduced, not to mention the horrible loss of lives, as well. 

A new climate change assessment for California published in late August, 2018 says that the average area burned by wildfires will increase 77 percent by 2100, and the frequency of extreme wildfires—those that burn more than 25,000 acres—will increase by nearly 50 percent under a scenario with high global greenhouse gas emissions.  No relief in climate extremes anticipated in the near future.

Nationwide, between 1980 and 2016 the numbers of acres burned per year has nearly doubled.  In 2017, there were 71,499 wildfires, compared to 65,575 wildfires in the same period in 2016, according to the National Interagency Fire Center. About 10 million acres were burned in the 2017 period, compared with 5.4 million in 2016. 2017 acres burned were higher than the 10-year average.

 

Number of Acres Burned in Wildfires, 1980–2016

Number of Acres Burned in Wildfires

Source: National Interagency Fire Center.

 

The trend of increasing acres burned nationally over the recent decades is also predicted to increase much like the grim forecast for California. A study published by NRDC in 2014 indicates that “Climate change could take a serious toll on the U.S. economy by expanding by 50 percent the area that wildfires burn —and raising projected damages by tens of billions of dollars a year by 2050.” Since the number of actual fires has remained generally constant in recent decades, it appears that increasing heat and wind tend to outmatch the resources and technology currently applied to suppress wildfires. In the west, the mountainous terrain surrounding desert plains tends to magnify the heat even more and create dynamic waves of sunbaked gales.  

We entertain and invite the important role of organizations like the NFPA and the US Forest Service, as well as those institutions involved in fire science research or responsible for urban planning and building codes to take part in testing the technology and formulating guidelines and codes to enable the added safety measures potentially offered by a WUI perimeter wildfire lithoshield (WUI-PEFS).

 

3 ) Project Description:

Placement

Exactly where any wildfire lithoshield should be constructed is a critical question.  Due to scarce resources and the benefit of timely solutions, an efficient plan may center around strategic areas, at the perimeter of a WUI area in the wildlands, which areas are designated as high fire risk or very high fire risk.  This perimeter should be a narrowly defined area that is adjacent to vulnerable developed lots, but external to the lots themselves in most cases.  Where might such a wall most effectively and efficiently be placed to offer the optimal protection for the urban area behind the wall in terms of topography and geology?  The right-of-way and ownership of the area is also a consideration, as well as who is going to pay for it.  Planning for such may be required with updated standards and regional building codes for those areas designated as wildfire high risk zones.

Outside of WUI areas, some mountain crests, valleys and plains that seasonally create violent heat and wind storms with the propensity to threaten WUI developments, or serve as radial conduits along a sometimes very lengthy route, may be targeted for more preemptive tactics that include repurposed wind turbines as well as integrated external firewalls.

 

Location

Some WUI areas may warrant more protection in different ways than others.  There may also be particular developments that need protection but are not situated in locations where wall structures are practical or even feasible based on the topography or housing density, for example.   A few cabins scattered in mountain resorts here and there may be very costly to protect for the amount of property at risk.  A minimal threshold of developed assets density may need to be deployed in order to move the agenda.  Consider some communities who may simply refuse to mar their view of the wildlands with a large concrete wall, despite the potential safety benefits.  

Ecology and natural environs are the principal attraction for many people who have chosen to live in or near the mountains or other wildlands areas.  Others may simply find their location to be a practical solution for employment or athletic activities.  Urban sprawl and the high cost of property in premium regions, on the other hand, may force people to relocate into the boonies (WUBoonies?) whether they like it or not.  Rising sea levels, whether actual, as in places like New Jersey, for example, or anticipated, may also be swelling the migration to higher grounds. 

High Wildfire Hazard Zones

For identifying specific locations that may benefit from a comprehensive lithoshield system, and there are many, a good reference to start with is the Wildfire Hazard Potential map, developed by the U.S. Forest Service's Fire Modeling Institute to help inform assessments of wildfire risk or prioritization of fuels management needs across large landscapes, which map covers the entire United States. The map service displays those areas within the continental United States that have different levels of fire potential, categorized by five WHP classes of (very low – very high) and two non-WHP classes (non-burnable and water).  

WHP Legend

Wildfire Hazard Potential

ledger 1

Very Low

ledger 2

Low

ledger 3

Moderate

ledger 4

High

ledger 5

Very High

ledger 6

Non-burnable

ledger 7

Water

 

Areas with higher WHP values represent fuels with a higher probability of experiencing torching, crowning, and other forms of extreme fire behavior under conducive weather conditions. According to the USFS, the data is not an explicit map of wildfire threat or risk; nor is it a forecast or outlook model for any particular season. When paired with spatial data depicting resources and assets such as communities, structures, or power lines, it can approximate relative wildfire risk to those resources and assets.  It is instead intended for long-term strategic planning and fuels management.

 

Adaptive Infrastructure

When planning urban developments with high or very high WHP levels, the cost of building concrete external lithoshield systems may be justified, if not demanded, just like the costs of water resources, water tanks, sanitation, streets, power utilities, extra fire hydrants and other fire protection resources, by the application of appropriate standards. Our infrastructure must adapt to modern threats and challenges, be they human-caused or natural, such as global warming and ecological instability.  Are we sacrificially feeding dragons and sun gods with our precious resources, pets and very lives, in our pilgrimage to the mountain top?   Very high WHP potentials may warrant firewalls with greater dimensions and other features and enhancements than those in merely high or moderate WHP areas, taking the threat of torching or crowning into consideration. 

Topography Placement Options

Within high fire risk WUI areas and remote areas with the propensity to threaten WUI developments, practical and strategic logistics such as topography will inform architectural and engineering placements and designs for wildfire lithoshield systems as discussed throughout this proposal.  These placement options are enumerated in the following table arranged by topography which reveals the broad scope of this proposal.  The ten items in this enumeration are not exclusive and will hopefully inspire additional adaptations and strategies as needed.

Table 1 Topographical Scope of Lithoshield Placements

Topography Relevance

Purpose

Housing

Proximity

Strategic

Value

Practicality

1) Mountain crest in high pressure domain

Control wayward winds dynamics and protect against wildfires preemptively

Remote

High

Ambivalent

2) Mountain crest in high fire risk mountain wave areas

Control mountain wave wind dynamics and protect against wildfires preemptively

Remote

High

Ambivalent

3) Mountain - hillside crest by wind turbines

Reduce wind dynamics and protect against wildfires preemptively

Remote - proximate

High

High

4) Hillside crest by housing development

Protect housing against fire and heat

Proximate

High

Ambivalent

5) Hillside housing access road

Protect housing and vegetation against fire and heat

Proximate – near

Medium

High

6) Hillside roadway integration near housing

Protect housing and vegetation against fire and heat

Proximate – near

Medium

High

7) Hillside firebreak near housing

Protect housing and vegetation against fire and heat

Proximate – near

Medium

High

8) Hillside slope near housing

Protect housing and vegetation against fire and heat

Proximate – near

Medium

Low

9) Hillside base near housing

Protect housing against fire and heat

Proximate

High

Medium

10) Grassland - plains by wind turbines

Protect grasslands and rural housing preemptively

Proximate – remote

Medium

Medium

 

Wildfire Ignition Causes

According to the National Park Service, as many as 90 percent of wildland fires in the United States are caused by humans.  A recent study, released in 2017 and led by Jennifer Balch of the University of Colorado, lowers the human-caused wildfires slightly down to 84 percent:

Table 2 Causes of Wildfires

Causes of Wildfires

Percent Human

WUI – (Est.)%

Percent Nature

Debris burning

29

29

0

Arson

21

10

0

Natural causes (lightning, lava)

0

0

16

Other human causes

13

13

0

Equipment use

11

11

0

Campfires

5

0

0

Children playing with fireworks or matches

5

5

0

Total Percent

84

68*

16

*WUI Estimate % calculated through interpolation by this author, not Jennifer Balch

The Fourth of July is the biggest day for wildfires, with 7,762 fires ignited on that date over the 21-year study period.   Ironically, we celebrate Independence Day by threatening the same land we fought so hard to claim independently from England a couple hundred years ago.

Balch and her study co-authors looked at 1.5 million wildfires from 1992 to 2012 and found that the human-ignited fire season was three times longer than the lightning-ignited fire season and also added an average of 40,000 wildfires per year.

As a benefit of thinning the forests near WUI developments and other features of the proposed lithoshield system, we surmise that fires ignited near or in the occupied areas may have less of a chance to spread into the wildlands due to the reduction of fuel at the perimeter.  By extrapolating data from the Balch study, we contend that most human-caused wildfires would fall into this space except for campfires at 5 percent and possibly a portion of deliberate arson at 21 percent.

Although a dedicated arsonist may seek remote wildlands to secretly ignite a wildfire, we know that many arsonists are witnessed in the act of suspicious behavior near or within the WUI developments, locations that are convenient in well-traveled roads and trails.  Incendiaries left behind also establish forensic evidence to pinpoint ignition locations.   If we split the arson cases in half we get about 10 percent which adds up to 68 percent for all WUI located wildfire ignitions, perhaps a bit more for cases of natural lightning and such in the WUI.  That totals to roughly 68-70 percent of all wildfires that we can manage and prevent within the WUI perimeter or adjacent to it with the proper tools and standards applied.

Fires that start in the urban developments proper, including those at the hands of arsonists, may be hindered from spreading into the wildlands if the lithoshield structure intervenes, especially when enhanced with the bi-directional Superior Sprinkler System, described below. 

Potential Solution

In summary, the proposed WUI perimeter wildfire lithoshield as well as carefully targeted preemptive means have the potential to:

1.       Protect humans and their property against human folly and negligence in WUI areas, responsible for the greatest portion of wildfires estimated at 68-70 percent,

2.       Protect the wildlands from about half of humans bearing incendiaries, the culprits of 21 percent of wildfires, as well as larger numbers of human negligence-caused wildfires estimated at 68-70 percent in total, and

3.       Protect humans from occasional naturally-caused seasonal fires accounting for about 16 percent of all wildfires.

Design

The principal advantage of a firewall is the control of radiant heat including flaming fuels which will be physically blocked and possibly absorbed or reflected by the structure.  Depending on the type of material, a thicker wall may potentially block or absorb more heat than a thinner wall.  Firebreaks also contribute to such control by removing immediate fuels and generating neutral space where such radiant heat and flames will dissipate.  A lithoshield can also obstruct the movement of firebrands at the level of the wall, whereas firebreaks offer no barriers to any particles carried by the wind.  Adding the two together in parallel will potentially double their combined protective capacity in a summative manner or possibly they may interact in such a way to produce geometric results.  Since these systems border the wildlands, and may extend for hundreds of meters, it’s also important to provide a bridge or porthole for wildlife to straddle or circumvent lengthy barriers.  Although the proposed firewalls may not reduce the incidence of wildfires, the potential for substantially mitigating the number of acres burned and the losses related thereto are promising.

Climatic Extremes Challenge

Extreme winds and heat especially in the Western States require adaptive infrastructure solutions. According to a new climate change assessment for California: the average area burned by wildfires will increase 77 percent by 2100, and the frequency of extreme wildfires—those that burn more than 25,000 acres—will increase by nearly 50 percent under a scenario with high global greenhouse gas emissions. In the areas that have the highest fire risk, wildfire insurance is estimated to see costs rise by 18 percent by 2055.  The wildfire lithoshield we propose is designed to guard against mountain waves and high pressure systems known as Diablo Winds and Santa Ana Winds along the Sierra Nevada, which historically drive many wildfires in California and are also addressed in the new assessment.  These solutions also apply to a wide scope of topographical scenarios common to a range of ecological regions. 

1.       Heat: What sets this strategy apart from traditional firefighting tactics is the recognition that the vast majority of intense heat generated in a wildfire is not confined to the fire front, but is broadly distributed in large volumes of hellfire heat in vectors and wind streams widely extended in all three dimensions away from the fire front, and more so in wind-driven fires common to this climate.  In many cases, dangerous heat also precedes and primes the vegetation to ignite the initial fuel source.  The logistics proposed, for not just containing but also quenching these volatile heat vectors, center around key aspects of the lithoshield system, including the subterranean heat sink, horizontal heat flue, superior sprinkler system and wind turbine integration.  The basic premise with regard to wildfire heat is that containment is not enough, and should only be recognized as a final protective perimeter.  We need sufficient heat quenching and treated dispersal only into safe locations like subterranean heat pits, not spewing raw into the air to keep firebrands and dangerous fuels warm and cozy.

2.       Wind:  In addition to a sizeable wall structure with various reflecting surfaces, strategic preemptive solutions to mitigate dangerous winds that often prime the landscape for wildfire ignition, are designed with integrated firewalls and wind turbines on mountain crests and grassy plains .  

3.       Firebrands: Our focus on the hazards of firebrands includes tactics integrated with the lithoshield such as firebrand screens, water sprays and cooling the firebrand  incubator as well as promoting innovatively repurposed wind turbines.  We daringly extend this discussion to include possible mobile 3D heat containment tactics, as well.  

The objective: 3D comprehensive solutions, above and below the ground, for the big three threats of wildfires: heat, wind and firebrands. In the interest of data sharing, let’s also connect our superior sprinkler system information sensing and gathering process with Big Data systems in the Internet, from 3D to 3DC (3D Cloud) as well as multiple robotic nozzles with remote control capabilities.  Though the solutions offered have the capacity to effectively manage the challenges of known climate extremes, they can also be calibrated for more temperate climates in various regions.

Comprehensive Lithoshield System

Our model of a comprehensive lithoshield system includes the following components and configurations:

1.       Wall Structure,

2.       Subterranean Heat Sink,

3.       Horizontal Heat Flue,

4.       Technological Solutions,

5.       Firebrands Protection,

6.       Superior Sprinkler System,

7.       Flood Control & Retaining Walls,

8.       Thinning & Firebreaks,

9.       Wind Turbine Integration.

 

Wall Structure

Clearly, the wall would need to be fire resistant to the highest standards.  The height of the wall is an important parameter that may be critical to functionality. But, due to wind dynamics, no solid wall by itself with a straight vertical shape can either effectively buffer strong winds or protect against embers, as illustrated below. Does a wall have to be 30 feet tall to protect against 30 foot flames? Rectitude, slant and curvature may also be strategically significant since an approaching fire usually accompanies or generates a great deal of wind and powerful plumes. For example, if the wall is intended to protect a housing development at the crest of a mountain of fuel below, should it lean towards the fuel? What if the wall and the development is at the base of the mountain. Should it lean the other way? All these questions are addressed in this discussion with promising potential solutions.

Standard Nonflammable Wall

Standard 6-ft. Landscape Wall

A standard 6-ft. landscape wall may provide some control for direct radiant heat, but it also poses a dangerous lever to catapult hot winds, flames and firebrands towards the interior. It may help to protect against some predators, vermin, floods and bullets, but winds and wind-driven wildfires are only elevated and plummeted directly below in chaotic turbulence, regardless of whether the wall is 10-ft. tall or 20-ft. tall. As noted in ecolandscaping.org , wind also dries out soils and vegetation quickly. Additionally, wind increases plant transpiration, requiring the plant to use more water. High wind can shred plant leaves and sand particles can sandblast the entire plant. In agriculture, experts have learned to use semi-permeable vegetation screens and wind fences or windbreaks to at least mitigate the winds in a sustainable manner. Solid – no! Permeable – yes! Fire resistant wind fences are also currently available as discussed below, and we also propose innovative curved solid walls or lithoshields that are designed to trap and extinguish firebrands and extreme heat and flames, which can be integrated with permeable windbreak structures for comprehensive protection. While the lithoshields are being developed and tested, you can immediately place windbreak fences around your property or mount them on top of your existing solid walls. Read on for more details.

Fortress Firewall

Main entrace of the fortress system of the ancient town of Apollonia

The idea of erecting large walls for protecting cities has been around for a while, as shown in this scene of fortress walls in the ancient town of Apollonia in Bulgaria.  These fortresses were built to forestall invasions by enemy invaders.  Now we anticipate firewalls to protect against the natural landscapes surrounding our urban developments which landscapes have unwittingly been transformed into an agent for wildfires mostly caused by humans, either deliberately or accidentally.   We may get some interesting design ideas from the images of fortresses in our history books, as well.

 

 

Sound Mirror

1381309730

Before the inventions of radar and sonar, this behemoth was ingeniously designed as a sound mirror to detect invading aircraft off the coast of Great Britain, constructed between 1927 and 1930.   The parabolic shape collected and magnified sound waves in the air over the English Channel and directed them at a microphone positioned just in front of the parabola.  You can also use it as a hearing aid if you stand exactly in the right position.  This 30-foot chunk of masonry might do as a super wildfire firewall,  with a few refinements and the addition of the essential heat sink and heat flue.   Here you will see some more practical archetypes we propose, as well.

Forest Corridor

Today, we expect a little more from our public infrastructure.  Instead of magnifying sound, this intriguing forest corridor serves as a sound barrier, and also generates electricity as passing vehicles wiggle adjacent panels. The pendulum system generates electricity from surrounding wind and turbulence from the passing traffic.    Great design from BREAD Studio in Hong Kong, China.

 

 

Our proposal to integrate external firewalls with wind turbines can also generate some electrical juice which will help pay for construction costs.

Subterranean Heat Sink

Blocking radiant heat is one thing, but if such heat is allowed to simply roll over the structure, as with a simple nonflammable barrier, and continue to flow in the same direction with almost the same intensity, how much protection will be provided?  Firewalls within a building have at least a ceiling and roof or additional stories above them to seal off the flames and heat to some extent and contain them within the structure on one side of the wall.  Not so with simple nonflammable barriers or walls out in the open.  

Figure 1 Wildfire Lithoshield Cross-Section Schematic

Wildfire Lithoshield Cross-Section

Instead of simply bouncing hot air and fumes into the open air stream above, would there be some advantage acquired by blocking their advance and reflecting them down into the earth in a subterranean heat sink where more heat and fumes can safely be absorbed below the ground, along with possibly a few firebrands? 

Whereas the concrete wall structure itself is capable of absorbing some heat and reflecting other heat, the ground below is practically unlimited in heat absorbing capacity and only a couple of shovels away.  The same trench needed for the foundation can simply be enlarged to afford ample space for some hot air to bounce around and cool off before it is allowed to safely flow back into the space above through filtered vents, which filters may help to capture firebrands and other debris.  Possibly, the exhaust vents will be elevated in the wall structure and directed towards the wildlands, where, again the cooling air and fumes may be recycled in the same draft as they mix with warmer air straight from the fire front. 

The cross-section schematic is presented only to give a very rough visual presentation of the ideas described as the subterranean heat sink and the horizontal heat flue and how they may be positioned relative to the entire structure.  These are the guts of the system with regard to heat and fire control and disposition: digesting heat and wind and converting some to useful kinetic energy while dispersing and absorbing other streams into the cooler walls, reflectors and air spaces within the bowels of the heat sink below and vents of the heat flues above. And much of it recycled in the process, by design, and mixed with cooler air along the way until finally being filtered, twisted and belched via the superior exhaust vent.  The heat flue draws hot air and flames through the overhang at a slight incline and at a 90 degree deflection from its entry point to the left of this schematic.  Internal reflectors redirect incoming wind-driven hot air streams down into the heat sink where they will lose a few calories before bouncing around and exiting through the same heat flue.  

This system is designed to protect residential properties on the right side of the wall structure as presented above, based on the orientation of the heat sink intake system.   If the fire is advancing from the residential side of the wall, the main protection for the wildlands would be the Superior Sprinkler System and the coordinated thinning and firebreaks discussed below.  For maximum protection in both directions two similar structures facing opposite ways could be designed to share a common subterranean heat sink with a V-shaped profile.  Also, for fire fronts descending on a hillside, variations in the overhang could be made to extend it at a higher angle and longer distance.  It’s all a matter of simple geometry and heat dynamics, and, of course, specialized engineering skills for dealing with the details.

Extending the hood several feet ahead of the structure as an overhang will capture more heat and flames that may not have the advantage of collateral winds.  Since these heat vectors will be mostly directed in an upward direction due to heat dynamics, this strategy would be critical for capturing heat and flames advancing on a hillside, for example. 

Shaping the hood with an additional bend or advanced wind reflector may allow for effectively guiding approaching flames and heat either towards the heat sink or laterally along the hooded flue depending on the approaching direction and intensity of the advancing flames and wind.   In general, it is likely that most wind-driven heat will be absorbed by the heat sink whereas other heat that is lofted simply by heat dynamics would be re-routed through the heat flue system.

Naturally, hot air and flames tend to soar vertically into the air while connecting with fuel sources on the ground.  Here we shape the contour of the lithoshield to guide the horizontal vectors into an optimal downward path to their final resting place, in terms of their caloric content.  The only energy we need is the kinetic forces already provided by the advancing wildfire.  Of course, taller walls will have more capacity to tag more hot air streams and firebrands to redirect them down below. 

V-Shaped Structure

Fuel driven flames advancing in a declining direction on a hillside, to the right of the above schematic drawing, can be adequately contained by the substantial back side of the wall structure, without the  benefit of a heat sink,  while their remaining fuel is exhausted and their residual heat dissipated vertically in the air.  Because of the substantial fuel break imposed by the lithoshield structure and most likely a parallel firebreak or road, there would be very little likelihood that the declining front would be able to jump over the barrier.  Even a small amount of downward wind or eddies caused by the mountain wave effect may be sufficiently neutralized.  The back side of the wall will also deflect declining winds and heat above and away from the hillside for more protection. 

For ideal hillside installations in windy terrains, the back side of the structure could also be designed with an additional barricade several meters in height for more protection in the vertical direction.  The overhanging heat flue structure on the downside left and the vertical barricade on the upside right would combine to form a V-shaped profile above the ground.  Ultimately, the upside could simply mirror the downside, flues and all, and share a common heat sink.  Maximum protection in all terrains.

Horizontal Heat Flue

Building a lithoshield along a hillside, for example, will support a wall structure likewise inclined with an extended hood facing the advancing fire.  On flat plains or mountain crests, other architectural designs can optimally guide the hot air to a path of safe dispersal.  Based on topography, numerous frontal architectural profiles may be suitable including the six archetypes enumerated below:

Frontal Architectural Profiles

Table 3 External Firewalls Architectural Profile Options

Architectural Profile Schematic

Key Features

Description

External Firewall Cross-Section

·         Level plane

·         Elliptical top

·         Elliptical flue

1) Level plane - Elliptical top with heat flue occupying the arched space. Foundation flat on level plane or nearly level. Exhaust vent at highest point of the ellipse near center.

 

External Firewall Cross-Section

·         Level plane

·         Isosceles top

·         Isosceles triangle flue

 

2) Level plane - Geometric top shaped like an isosceles triangle over the intake vent and foundation as the base.  Foundation level on fairly level plane. Heat flue occupying entire triangular space. Exhaust vent at highest end of heat flue.

 

External Firewall Cross-Section

·         Level plane

·         Inclined top

·         Right triangle flue

 

3) Level plane - straight inclined top (not curved) shaped like a right triangle over the intake vent and foundation as the base.  Foundation level on fairly level plane. Heat flue occupying entire triangular space. Exhaust vent at highest end of heat flue.

 

External Firewall Cross-Section

·         Inclined plane aligned with road

·         Top parallel to adjacent inclined road

·         Flue inclined with road

 

4) Inclined plane - roadway aligned top following the inclination of a roadway or firebreak on a hillside plane with foundation also so inclined.   Exhaust vent at top end.

 

External Firewall Cross-Section

·         Inclined plane aligned with road

·         Top integrated with superior inclined road

·         Flue inclined with road

5) Inclined plane - Roadway integrated structure follows roadway inclination and constructs lithoshield directly below roadway to rebuild road as top layer of firewall.  Provides opportunity to expand roadway.

 

External Firewall Cross-Section

·         Level plane

·         No heat sink

·         Reduced protective capacity

6) Barebones – No heat sink for terrains where heat sink not practical or for small individual lots.  Flue base is inclined above a level wall.  Exhaust vent at high point of flue.  Reflector bounces more heat and flames into the heat flue.

Other options include combined segments of the profiles above for irregular topographies or to wrap around a lot on a hillside with multiple inclinations

for both level and inclined edges. Whenever possible in combined segments, it’s best to integrate the heat flues and subterranean heat sinks for maximum

uninterrupted space in order to absorb and extinguish more heat.   One ultimate heat flue exhaust vent at the highest point would be the ideal architecture, however multiple exhaust vents may be the only practical solution for some situations.  

 

 

By applying the same principles of 1) inclining the heat flue ceiling, and 2) placing the heat flue exhaust vent at the highest point available, many functional variations, combinations and alternatives may be designed, as well.  Wherever you can build a path or firebreak, by digging a little deeper, you can also build a super-protective firewall.  Even without a heat sink, a lithoshield with only an ample heat flue can increase your chances of surviving an advancing wildfire to a considerable degree.  A few robotic nozzles will improve your chances even more, as discussed in minimum lithoshield configuration.

Figure 2 Apex Heat Flue Exhaust Top View Schematic

External Firewall Crest

 

Hillside Safe Heat Disposal

A convenient path of construction may be similar to an access road that gently wraps around a hillside with minimum degrees of incline.   Such hillside access roads may also be suitable placements for external lithoshield systems as we propose.  The overhanging hood will function as a heat flue with an open bottom channeling the fire and fumes laterally for possibly several hundred feet, or even more if it is tucked beside the entire length of a hillside access road, for example.  The greater the length, the greater the volume of uninterrupted cubic space and linear surface area both in the heat flue and heat sink.

Figure 3 A swimming pool is all that remains of a hilltop home after being burned by the Delta wildfire that swept through Shasta County, Friday, Aug. 10, 2018. (AP Photo/Michael Burke) ABC30 News

By extending the heat flue system to the very top of the hillside with only one ultimate vent at the crest and above any housing or vegetation, the exhausted air will be positioned in most likely the safest space possible since vulnerable fuels will be below their trajectory.   This may be seen as a virtual chimney or smoke stack which belches out heat and smoke in a safe manner.  In some cases, where the landscape does not provide a suitable elevation for a safe lithoshield flue, a physical smoke stack can be integrated for added safety. 

Winding hillside access roads may also be integrated with external firewalls in one solid structure.   Please see Roadway Integration for more discussion on this topic.  The dynamics of rising heat will serve to trap most of the heat and flames within the hood.  The extended flue along the road may capture more of the heat that would not otherwise be successfully redirected towards the subterranean heat sink and will likewise re-channel those fumes released through the heat sink exhaust vents.   Please see schematic rendering above for Apex Exhaust Vent.

 

Hillside Housing

Figure 4 Shacks with tarp roofs dot the hillside of MTST’s Paulo Freire Occupation on the outskirts of São Paulo. Image by The Megacity Initiative. Brazil, 2015.

Some of the roads surrounding this development and shanty town may be suitable for the proposed solution of a comprehensive lithoshield system tucked below the road.  This particular site is in São Paulo, Brazil where there’s a demand for affordable housing.  The lithoshield system can also be constructed on any slope or plain without the convenience of a road or firebreak with which to merge, such as in the foreground of this photo.  In some parts of the world, hillside housing is more affordable, in others, it comes at a premium.  Homeless squatters need protection, too!  Location, Location, Location.   Wildlands, Housing, Wildlands, WUBoonies, Tent Cities, People.

Roadway Integration

In addition to the option of building firewalls adjacent to winding access roads, the roadway itself may be integrated with the lithoshield and extend over the top.  This may be necessary in hillsides with steep cliffs, for example, which is where more intense fires are likely to occur.  The added weight of the roadway may require pillars extending from the base to the overhanging hood and superior roadway.   Occasionally, roadways along steep cliffs may already have supporting pillars in their foundation. 

The integrated roadway-lithoshield may also accommodate an expansion of the roadway. Expanding the roadway in this manner will more readily facilitate the passage of emergency vehicles, which is often problematic in hillside emergencies.  On some steep hillsides, it may be necessary to forego the heat sink integration due to the engineering challenges involved, although this omission should be avoided unless absolutely necessary.  In those sections without a heat sink, the protection provided by the extended overhang and heat flue system, as well as the sprinkler system with properly spaced robotic nozzles , should reduce the threat of advancing fires to a significant degree.

Positioning the wall below the road will also serve to protect the road and its travelers, assuming the fire approaches from below.  This may be critical for protection during an evacuation, for example .  See Hillside Housing for an example of suitable hillside roadways.

Level Plane Structures

On a level plane, such as at the base of a hill, crest of a mountain or in a plain, the same inclined flue effect may be accomplished simply by slanting and inclining the flue profile in the shape of an isosceles triangle or right triangle in the desired direction or forming an elliptical design with an arched heat flue.  In any case, at the crest of the inclined structure, the hood will be reshaped and extended outward from the wall towards the flaming front. 

Mountain Crest Firewall

Figure 5 Front View Schematic of Mountain Crest Lithoshield – elliptical shape suitable for all level terrains

Mountain Crest Firewall

A mountain crest lithoshield on a level ridge may have an elliptically shaped top forming the heat flue as depicted in the above schematic rendering. The entire width from this perspective may range  from 100 to 500 meters or more.  More length and height, as well as depth in the subterranean heat sink below ground, increases the cooling capacity proportionally. The height of the lithoshield above ground may range from 5 to 10 meters.  The exhaust vent at the central apex flushes out cooler air in the opposite direction of the intake vents.  Components include the superior sprinkler system with multiple robotic nozzles and remote control capabilities and surveillance system with thermal imaging, RGB and heat sensors.  Connectivity with HPWREN and other emergency networks are anticipated. Additionally, firebrand screens will be included in the exhaust vents and exterior positions. 

This is the answer to the question of the irresistible wildfire force coming up against an unsurmountable lithoshield .  It is also a preemptive means of reducing the vacuum effect of the mountain wave that causes havoc down below and either helps to initiate new fires or supports the advance of existing fires.  Thus, it will be at work, shaping wind and cooling air, year round, as well as providing remote views of the landscape for all to see. 

Figure 6 New Cameras Installed on SCE Telecom Tower in Orange County to Monitor Wildfire Activity in Orange Countye, eneed protection, too!May 9, 2018

OCFA cameras

Challenge: Should our mountain crest firecams be used only for looking at and analyzing fires from a distance, or should we also at least have the capability to aid in suppressing the advance of those fires within our reach with currently available remote control technology?   

If wind turbines or external equipment towers, antennae, etc., are also located on the same mountain crest or grassy plain, two firewalls may be needed to protect the equipment from both sides.   They can also be shaped to wrap around the protected instruments, leaving adequate space for access and maintenance.  For protection from high pressure Diablo winds flowing through the Sierra Nevada, for example, the intake vents will be aligned to face the direction of the source.  This design will also work well for grassy plains or to protect housing at the base of hillsides or mountains.  On a slight incline the same model will work just as well as long as the exhaust vent is located at the highest point of the heat flue ellipse. 

Griffith Observatory


A wildfire in the hills came dangerously close to the Griffith Observatory on May 10, 2007. On October 15, 2017, brush fires approached the Observatory Trail, but were extinguished before causing any structural damage. On July 10 2018 the Griffith Park Observatory was evacuated after a brush fire burned 25 acres and damaged cars but was extinguished before it damaged any buildings. More examples of wildfire threats and actual damages to observatories are reported in National Security Risk. External firewalls can be installed along the surrounding roads and slopes for secure protection. As discussed above, other linear shapes are recommended for greater inclines such as alongside hillside access roads and firebreaks, as well as roadway integration.   See additional architectural profiles for more information.  

Technological Solutions

Integrated Heat Sink and Heat Flue

With this combined system of heat sink below and heat flue above, almost no flames and very little heat that approaches the lithoshield structure will be allowed to directly roll over the structure in the original direction, and the air that is finally flushed out of the flue system at the crest will be much cooler and directed in the opposite direction.  This system will essentially decapitate the flames and separate them from hot gaseous fuels in the mix.  Even more importantly, it will quench huge amounts of intense heat that would otherwise continue in the same direction as the fire front, as highlighted in Table 4 .  For additional frontal view archetypes of the firewalls we envision, please see Architectural Profiles.  Now let’s look a little more deeply at the technological challenges of hellfire heat, wayward winds and fluorescent firebrands that our combined structural lithoshield has to face, and the novel strategies needed for effective solutions.

Hellfire Heat Quencher

In Charts for Interpreting Wildland Fire Behavior Characteristics, by Patricia L. Andrews and Richard C. Rothermel, of the US Forest Service Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station Ogden, UT 84401, this table, published in September 1982, relates the amount of heat intensity to within a range of flame lengths in wildfires.

Table 4 Fire suppression interpretations of flame length and fireline intensity

Flame Length Feet

Fire Intensity Btu’s / Ft² / S

Interpretation

< 4

< 100

Fire can generally be attacked at the head or flanks by persons using hand tools. Handline should hold the fire.

4-8

100-500

Fires are too intense for direct attack on the head by persons using hand tools. Handline cannot be relied on to hold fire. Equipment such as plows, dozers, pumpers, and retardant aircraft can be effective.

8-11

500-1,000

Fires may present serious control problems-torching out, crowning, and spotting. Control efforts at the fire head will probably be ineffective.

> 11

> 1,000

Crowning, spotting, and major fire run's are probable. Control efforts at head of fire are ineffective.

 

This chart helps us recognize the amount of Btu’s per Ft² per second that are generated in a wildfire and that we need to handle and hopefully quench with our heat sink and heat flue system as the front approaches.  Each Btu that is not quenched will essentially be free to add more intensity to the molecules or gases that contain it, or such gases may mix with other streams where they will share Btu’s to either warm or cool one another depending on their relative heat intensity to begin with.  Like warming up a cup of coffee with a fresh serving from the pot.

Subterranean heat sinks are also used to cool some homes often by recirculating warm air from the attic down to underground tubes that are spread over a large area to maximize the square footage of contact with cooler underground earth.  This model efficiently dissipates Btu’s of heat from one undesirable space of air in the attic to harmless subterranean areas in the earth through the intermediary surfaces of underground tubing.  Whereas the tubing above ground may be insulated, the underground tubing is designed to allow for the optimum transfer of heat through the tubing walls. Some systems combine geothermal heat and cooling capacity for both heating and cooling a home, for example.

In our model of combined heat flues above and heat sinks below, we actually dissipate some Btu’s of heat directly into the air through the heat flue vents, as well.  This is by design because we know that a lot of flames and heat will not passively flow into the heat sink intake system without the help of lateral winds.  Fortunately, our thermal imaging sensors will detect excessive heat from the exhaust vents and automatically dose them with water to keep the heat under control.  Whereas many wildland fires are accompanied and promoted by high speed winds, the direction of the winds may not always be oriented towards the intake system at the face of our heat sinks.  The best we can do with these warmer streams of air is to break them up somewhat and spread them out to dissipate the heat over a larger cubic area and different direction where we can at least reduce the velocity and intensity of hot air streams advancing in the direction of the fire front.  Any excessive heat in a 360⁰ scope will be detected and cooled off with multiple robotic nozzle sprays.

To quench a thousand Btu’s per Ft² per second (hellfire heat) underground is no easy matter.  We know that the deeper and greater volume and internal surface square footage contained within our heat sink, the more Btu’s we can quench. 

Intramural Water Circulation

To prevent our heat sink from simply becoming a furnace to warm subsequent air streams, we may need to use a supplemental cooling system such as circulating water in pipes within the containing walls and interior reflectors, as well. The cooling water will come from a local reservoir or tank and be recycled in the circuit.  Such a cooling system will more quickly recharge the cooling capacity of the interior surfaces.  In a sense we may look at this internal cooling system as a firewall within a firewall, or a heatwall, more precisely, providing more control by adjusting the amount of water we circulate within this system, as needed.

Internal Chamber Sprinklers

Water can also be sprayed directly into the heat sink chamber, serving several purposes:

1)      Suffocating any flames by separating and chilling their fuels in the air,

2)      Consuming Btu’s of heat to convert water drops into steam and vapor,

3)      Kinetically pushing entering air in optimal directions,

4)      Soaking firebrands to extinguish any flames and smoldering charcoal,

5)      Flushing firebrand debris and other particulates down the drain,

6)      Giving the exposed surfaces of the heat sink a nice cool shower and draining away any heat shared by contact,

7)      Adjusting the cooling capacity by controlling the water pressure as needed.

Additional internal reflectors may be used to also increase the square footage of contact to dissipate heat.  Special types of bricks or cement may also help to absorb or transfer more heat without completely decomposing or combusting.  Of course, one of the most efficient resources is simply to increase the total horizontal length of the entire firewall structure to cube the entire cross-section footprint by its length.  The Superior Sprinkler System is also designed to cool volumes of warm air that surmount the heat sink and flue structure by wide sprays of water directly above.

This strategy is innovate because, other than direct assaults on fire fronts and defensive firebreak expansions, currently no existing fire protection systems in the wildlands are designed for, or capable of, disarming immense volumes of hot air streams by dissipating, quenching or redirecting Btu’s of heat in a managed fashion either into the air or into the ground below.  

Of course, extinguishing flames at the front is a paramount necessity, but it only partially addresses all the vast amounts of collateral heat in the area.  This may be obvious, but should be documented, nonetheless. Our existing systems are clearly effective in extinguishing flames with water and chemicals, but the surrounding volumes of hot air and vaporized fuels are not directly assaulted or restricted other than being dosed by some cool water sprays and vapors concentrated in small targets.  Fire retardants have also proven to be effective by blocking access to vegetation fuels at the front, but the hot air above continues to flow in the same direction and intensity until it finds more fuel ahead or eventually dissipates to a less hazardous intensity.

Defensive Controlled Burning

Figure 7 Firefighters from Sacramento Metro burn around an old cabin in Ackerson Meadow near Yosemite National Park, California on August 28, 2013. The enormous Rim Fire became the sixth-largest wildfire in recorded California history at 192,500 acres. UPI/Al Golub

Defensive firebreaks are critical to form a battlefront for containment, but here we can only draw a line in the sand with fuel-less gaps while laboriously digging out glowing hotspots, and then we dare the expanding fires to cross our line with a prayer and a curse. 

Unfortunately, we often resort to fighting fire with fire with controlled burning on the battlefront, which simply exacerbates the accumulation of dangerous heat that may sometimes flow in unexpected directions.  We need to realize that it’s not only the flames that matter, it’s the tremendous volume of invisible heat that spreads the threat and desiccates the moisture wherever the winds blow.  Not very clever!  

 

 Seasonal Prescribed Burning Risks

With alarming trends of increased wildfire damages, most likely related to climate change, this may be a good time to take another look at the benefits and risks of seasonal prescribed burning in our wildlands and farmlands.  In addition to the risks of occasional accidental control failures and air quality hazards, we also need to reevaluate the very predictable costs of dumping huge volumes of CO2 into our global greenhouse.  

Figure 8 Buffelgrass Controlled Burn Tucson, AZ

 Buffelgrass goes up in flames in controlled burn in southeast Tucson

Let’s also take another look at some of the alternatives to burning that have been well documented.  Climate change suggests that what may have been a safe season for burning in the past, is no longer as safe.   Or the safer period may be changing to different months and fewer months, which may also need to be carefully determined with specific criteria every year. Some mistakes in planning prescribed burning are described in Prescribed Fire Lessons Learned from the USDA Forest Service in 2005, which indicates that about 1% of prescribed fires result in escapes (fire escaped beyond planned area) or near misses:

It is estimated that Federal land management agencies complete between 4,000 and 5,000 prescribed fires annually. Approximately ninety-nine percent of those burns were ‘successful’ (in that they did not report escapes or near misses). This can be viewed as an excellent record, especially given the elements of risk and uncertainty associated with prescribed fire. However, that leaves 40 to 50 events annually we should learn from. This report is intended to assist in that effort.

In 2016, the Office of Inspector General (OIG) conducted an audit of the Forest Service Wildland Fire Activities – Hazardous Fuels Reduction: Our objectives were to assess FS’ controls over selecting hazardous fuels reduction projects, assess the impact of Community Wildfire Protection Plans on that selection, and follow up on FS’ corrective actions in response to our 2006 audit. The findings are summarized in part here:

The Forest Service (FS) lacks a consistent, cross-agency process for selecting its highest priority hazardous fuels reduction projects for completion. FS units do not use scientifically-based risk assessments to select projects; they do not document the processes used for selecting projects; and the Washington Office (WO) does not review project decisions made at the regional and district level. FS’ methodology for tracking accomplishments leads to inadequate data, and as a result, FS reported to Congress that it treated 3,703,848 acres for hazardous fuels reduction during fiscal years (FY) 2012-2014, when it actually treated 3,600,389 acres, an overstatement of 103,459 acres (2.8 percent)…

Can we live with buffelgrass in the Sonoran desert until such time we find less dangerous means of control including robotic weeders and no-till machines, although no doubt buffelgrass itself presents a wildfire fuel risk? For grassy weeds, a simple string trimmer may do the trick, preferably battery powered. For grassy weeds, a simple string trimmer may do the trick, preferably battery powered . Burning weeds to prevent wildfires makes as much sense as igniting a pile of coal to avoid coal-fueled power plants. Resilience requires sustainability and existential adaptations in this era of climate change.

Buffelgrass control with glyphosate



Herbicide weed control products have also been used by public land managers. Care has to be taken to prevent ecological damages by any herbicide or pesticide in our wildlands. Of course, a number of species are also threatened by wildfires whether prescribed or accidental. Humans may also be at risk by exposure to many pesticides, including the popular Roundup and its active ingredient glyphosate, allegedly posing a risk of cancer. Glyphosate based herbicides have been successfully used to help control buffelgrass in Arizona since 2004, according to the National Park Service . Notice that this park worker is not wearing any mask to protect her from the chemicals strapped to her back, though she is wearing gloves and some type of eyewear. Since she seems to be using a drip method, as opposed to a spray, the hazard may be reduced. Prescribed burns and herbicide applications are both hazardous to those workers involved, as well as the community, but the cancer risks for those handling glyphosates are more insidious.

A recent Pacific Standard story titled “PRESCRIBED BURNING: FIGHTING FIRE WITH FIRE IN THE AMERICAN WEST” dated OCT 13, 2017, stated that … only 1 percent of wildfires each year actually burn forest lands directly adjacent to areas where fuels reduction was carried out. That means that the more than $350 million spent annually on fuels reduction results in virtually no difference in the destructive capacity of wildfires:

The U.S. Forest Service is responsible for more than 190 million acres of land, and fuels reduction efforts are targeted, tree-specific, and almost entirely manual. They are performed on an acre-by-acre basis, and they must be repeated every 10 years to deal with new forest growth. The result is that only a tiny fraction of forests categorized as "high-risk"—with little documentation of the logic behind that designation —sees fuels reduction. Additionally, it is impossible to predict whether these patches will coincide with the location of next summer's heat waves, the primary driver of annual wildfire geography.

In Southern California, the National Park Service (NPS) does not use prescribed fire in the Santa Monica Mountains due to the natural fire regime of this ecosystem. As stated by the NPS:

In the last forty years fire managers have promoted the idea that prescribed fire is necessary to protect ecosystems and communities by restoring fire's natural role in the environment to thin forest stands and to reduce hazardous fuels. This is true for western forests where the natural fire regime was frequent, low intensity surface fires started by lightning, and for many other ecosystems like southern longleaf pine forests, Florida palmetto scrub, and the Great Plains tall grass prairies. However, it is not true for the shrubland dominated ecosystems of southern California and the Santa Monica Mountains. …

Many studies have shown that repeated fires at short intervals will eliminate chaparral shrub species and can promote establishment of non-native annual weeds. On the other hand, studies of long unburned chaparral show no decline in the ability of the community to recover, even after more than a century without fire. "Old-growth" stands of unburned chaparral have unique characteristics and are a valuable natural resource.

Net effect of prescribed burning: negligible protection benefit, added greenhouse gases, increased health hazards of smoke pollution, in addition to the wasted cost of the operation itself in terms of safety objectives. Hopefully more productive use of personnel and resources could be deployed in needed projects, such as safer vegetation treatment alternatives in areas more strategically located. Though safer, more sustainable treatment methods may be more costly per acre, the focus on areas in proximity to the WUI should produce more effective results in terms of protection. Thus the cost-benefit ratio will be enhanced as well as yielding a net ecological improvement: Smarter planning and land management in a sustainable manner.

There may also be some advantage to clear or thin long strips of vegetation as opposed to simply large, shapeless or roundish areas, in order to increase the likelihood of intersecting the path of a future wildfire, as described in the Geometrically Enhanced Mega Firebreak (GEMF) section. Possibly, Artificial Intelligence may be useful for helping to design the best geometric design that is most likely to be effective in this regard and to help with other design models to be tested in a more efficient virtual mode, as opposed to brick and mortar trials or downscaled wind-tunnel tests.

In any design model for thinning or vegetation treatment, it’s critical to first identify whether a major objective is to protect housing or other valuable assets, and, if so, to build a protective system with that goal in mind and the specific locations to be protected as parameters for the design. This does not discount the value of some vegetation treatment projects that have other types of land management goals or ecological pursuits not related to the protection of real property or other physical assets. However, if any such projects are planned, the impact on safety for real property or other valuable assets in the area should be carefully assessed, as well.

Careful judgements need to be made and documented if there are unresolvable conflicts between protecting the environment and protecting valuable human assets and the related priorities for any planned projects. Documentation should also identify the nearest residential development or other vulnerable assets closest to the planned project regardless of intended protection. Vulnerable assets may include observatories, communications towers, radar antenna, high-power lines, wind turbines, monuments, parks, squatters’ settlements, etc.

 

Firebrand Incubator

This helps to explain why containing a wildfire is so difficult regardless of the amount of water and fire retardants we pour over the front.  The tremendous hellfire heat continues to advance in huge volumes, with or without flames, unabated.  Although firebrands also contribute to advancing fronts and spot fires, their partnership with huge volumes of intense heat makes them all the more likely to ignite vulnerable fuels.  Like schools of fluorescent piranhas, the embers are coddled and disseminated in the millions by rivers of hot air streams that keep them warm, like an incubator, and sustained in a smoldering state for ultimate ignition.  The tremendous heat allows small amounts of combustible gases and charcoal to glow and smolder to extend their incendiary life.  Only by our chilling interventions can we expose these glowing embers to temperatures so low that combustion can no longer occur or the fuel is completely consumed.  Please see Wildfire Combustion Process below for more details.

Firebreaks by themselves also have no capacity to interfere with the movement or intensity of hot air streams and flames, other than to allow for a neutral space deprived of fuel where the heat will passively dissipate.  Even without firebreaks, warm air generally seeks higher altitudes and naturally dissipates with cooler volumes of air above.  In many wind-driven fires, however, a vacuum effect over the crest of hillsides known as a “mountain wave” sucks in hot air streams close to the surface which increases the fire risk and confines vertical heat dissipation. 

Mountain Wave Effect

Figure 9 The Mountain Wave Rendering by Weather.gov

Mountain Wave

Quoting from Weather.gov: Air flowing across a mountain range usually rises relatively smoothly up the slope of the range, but, once over the top, it pours down the other side with considerable force, bouncing up and down, creating eddies and turbulence and also creating powerful vertical waves that may extend for great distances downwind of the mountain range.  This phenomenon is known as a mountain wave. Note the up and down drafts and the rotating eddies formed downstream.

High Pressure Diablo Winds

On the coast of California, many wind storms labeled “Diablo Winds” as well as “Santa Ana Winds” are driven by high pressure cells centered in the high desert of the Great Basin of Nevada and parts of Utah.  High-pressure air that builds over that region generates winds that flow toward lower-pressure air over California and the coast.  

Wayward Winds

Moving further west, the wayward winds descend over mountainous terrain to lower elevations, which causes them to compress and become hotter and drier.  The winds pick up speed as they descend and funnel through canyons or across peaks along the Sierra Nevada mountains that are lower than their neighbors.  The mountain wave vacuum effect over mountain crests amplifies these vectors even more.  Sustained wind speeds in the 60-70 MPH range are common in these areas.  Other parts of California have set record gusting wind speeds up to 199 MPH without a tornado or hurricane.  

Figure 10 Diablo and Santa Ana Winds across Sierra Nevada Mountains – Click for more details

Diablo Winds

Clearly, the mountain wave effect is very powerful, even without the added forces generated by high pressure systems, such as the Diablo Winds and Santa Ana Winds.  By the strategic placement of an wildfire lithoshield at the crests of mountains and hills, the mountain wave vacuum effect may be neutralized preemptively to baffle the winds and reduce the heat that may otherwise contribute to the ignition of new fires, or the expansion of existing fires down below.  Significant wind management may also be augmented by installing wind turbines integrated with firewalls.  Please see Wind Turbine Integration below.

 

 

Extreme Fire Hazard Risk

Extreme fire hazard risks may develop in the downdraft areas below the crest when a fire front advances on the updraft side of the mountain, which risks may be obscure.   Caution should be exercised in the deployment of any crews or apparatus in the area.  Mandatory evacuations for proximate residents may be warranted.  The possibility of wind sheers may preclude the passage of aircraft in these turbulent air spaces. The use of live thermal infrared imaging in the area may help to more accurately assess the threat of exposure.   Please see more on Thermal Infrared Imaging, and what extreme fire hazard conditions look like in explosive scenes below.

Like firebreaks, our firewall systems are not mobile as are firefighting apparatus, crews or aircraft.  We cannot mobilize this system to the front, so the strategic placements of this system’s installations is critical.   This disadvantage is balanced by the fact that the wildfire lithoshield will always be ready for instant and automatic deployment without the additional time and costs of dispatching emergency services, although the system will be designed to automatically alert such emergency services, as well, whenever a fire is detected.

Firebrands Protection

The threat caused by firebrands in the WUI is very significant.  However, even a 100-foot wall or firebrand screen would not offer full protection against all firebrands that often number in the millions, as shown in this infrared video.  In this short video, take note of the brief moment when the camera lens is switched to RGB and back to infrared.  The operator also invokes the 4-letter H word in his comments: Oh, the heat’s crazy now!  In the firebrand incubator discussion, we emphasize the dependence of firebrands on hellfire heat to disseminate them and coddle them with the heat necessary to sustain a smoldering state and ignite fires.  Quenching the ambient heat will go a long way towards disarming firebrands, as well.  

WUI Pathways

The ways firebrands can ignite a structure in the WUI are varied. In a 2015 study on Pathways for Building Fire Spread in the WUI, the author, Michael Gollner, reports that Firebrands, also called burning embers, are now thought to be one of the primary sources of ignition in the wildland-urban interface. They present hazards because they can either directly ignite components of vulnerable structures or can ignite nearby vegetation and other combustibles which can subsequently ignite the structure via radiant heating or direct flame contact (Quarles, 2012). There does not appear to be a consensus on the percentage of ignitions caused by embers, primarily because it is difficult to determine after-the-fact what caused each individual home or structure to burn down during a fire.

Studies that show how the size of firebrands can predict the length of smoldering time have been published in the Fire Safety Journal showing that: The results have shown that the increase in the particle size leads to the increase in the smouldering time.  Another study published in the International Journal of Wildland Fire investigates the dynamics of the buoyant plume generated by a bushfire and its ability to transport firebrands.  The study shows that: plume dynamics have a marked effect on the maximum spotting distance and determine the amount of lateral and longitudinal spread in firebrand landing position.  In one study (Clements, 1977) it was found that: firebrands that had a high percentage of samples flaming in flight and on landing also tended to have higher terminal velocity. 

Wildfire Combustion Process

Firebrands in wildfires are produced towards the end of a cycle known as the Glowing phase and the Smoldering phase of the Combustion Process – the same cycle that they help to re-propagate in spot fires.  Here we highlight the critical factors of heat and temperature to maintain these phases:

1)      Two stage process. Within a wildland fire, the processes of pyrolysis and combustion occur simultaneously (Ryan and McMahon 1976 in Sandberg et al. 1978).

a)       Pyrolysis. When first heated, fuels produce water vapor and mostly noncombustible gases (Countryman 1976). Further heating initiates pyrolysis, the process by which heat causes chemical decomposition of fuel materials, yielding organic vapors and charcoal (ibid.). At about 400F. (204 C)., significant amounts of combustible gases are generated. Also at this temperature, chemical reactions start to produce heat, causing pyrolysis to be self-sustaining if heat loss from the fuel is small. Peak production of combustible products occurs at when the fuels are about 600 F. (316 C.) (ibid.).

b)      Combustion. Combustion is the process during which combustible gases and charcoal combine with oxygen and release energy that was stored in the fuel (Countryman 1976) as heat and light.

2)      Phases of combustion. The following summary is derived from Ryan and McMahon (1976 in Sandberg et al. 1978), except where noted. For a more complete discussion of the phases of combustion, see Sandberg et al. (1978).

a)       Pre-ignition phase. In this phase, heat from an ignition source or the flaming front heats adjacent fuel elements. Water evaporates from fuels and the process of pyrolysis occurs, the heat-induced decomposition of organic compounds in fuels.

b)      Flaming phase. Combustible gases and vapors resulting from pyrolysis rise above the fuels and mix with oxygen. Flaming occurs if they are heated to the ignition point of 800 to 900F. (427 to 482 C.), or if they come into contact with something hot enough to ignite them, such as flames from the fire front (Countryman 1976). The heat from the flaming reaction accelerates the rate of pyrolysis. This causes the release of greater quantities of combustible gases, which also oxidize, causing increased amounts of flaming (Ryan and McMahon 1976 in Sandberg et al. 1978).

c)       Glowing phase. When a fire reaches the glowing phase, most of the volatile gases have been driven off. Oxygen comes into direct contact with the surface of the charred fuel. As the fuel oxidizes, it burns with a characteristic glow. This process continues until the temperature drops so low that combustion can no longer occur, or until all combustible materials are gone.

d)      Smoldering phase. Smoldering is a very smoky process occurring after the active flaming front has passed. Combustible gases are still being released by the process of pyrolysis, but the rate of release and the temperatures maintained are not high enough to maintain flaming combustion. Smoldering generally occurs in fuel beds with fine packed fuels and limited oxygen flow such as duff and punky wood. An ash layer on these fuel beds and on woody fuels can promote smoldering by separating the reaction zone from atmospheric oxygen (Hartford 1993).

Firebrands are not specifically mentioned in this description, but it’s clear that the chemical and thermodynamic processes for the glowing phase and the smoldering phase apply equally to vegetation fuels either airborne or moribund below.  Suppressing heat will compromise the ambient temperatures needed to sustain these phases.

Although firebrands can be lofted to very high altitudes and are known to ignite spot fires even miles away from their origin, before they can do any damage they must first come down to ground level, the level of our firewall, and they must still possess adequate fuel and heat to sustain a glowing or smoldering state after their long journey .  This is our playing field, for all those installations adjacent to housing developments. The same arena where vulnerable fuels, housing, people and other assets of value need to be protected. 

Within the lithoshield structure, partial protection may be enhanced by a wall that helps to push the hot air either below into a subterranean heat sink or laterally along a hooded heat flue.  Those air streams that surmount these obstacles may be redirected in vertical directions to intercept and carry some firebrands away from a direct path to vulnerable structures.  Both directions, in sequence, may be the best option.  In other words, start by redirecting the hot air into the subterranean heat sink below or along the extended heat flues to cool it off and capture some firebrands, and then channel the exhaust into advantageous directions likely lofted by the remaining heat. 

Beneficial Air Streams

Various designs, curvatures and other features may more effectively promote beneficial air streams .  By diverting firebrands and their incubating warm air streams away from the housing development at least temporarily, the heat and fuel contained in the firebrands may significantly be reduced by the time they reach vulnerable structures or combustibles.  Mixing up the air in turbulent swirls may also provide more oxygen and heat to some firebrands, like an ethereal catalyst,  accelerating their burnout rate.  One way to promote such turbulence may be to include turbine-like blades or fins on the internal surface of heat flue exit vents at the apex to twist the hot air as it is expelled.  These strategies are intended to use the fire’s own energy in the forms of wind and heat to the advantage of protection.  Please see the schematic rendering of the heat flue apex exhaust top view.

Metallic Firebrand Screens

Metallic screens near or at the top of the firewall, depending on its design, may also be helpful to trap those firebrands caught up in low-level currents (our playing field). The metal may also be heated by the stream of heat which may serve as a hot physical catalyst, as well, to burn out the embers upon contact.  Other screens will also be advantageous in the heat flues and at the heat sink exhaust vents, for the same purpose. These screens can also be designed to manage wind dynamics as do wind fences or windbreaks. A wildfire-resistant wind fence atop our external firewall, that can also filter out firebrands, may do the trick. Attenuating wind flow will by itself significantly reduce fire combustion hazards beyond the fence, such as the torch-like winds of the Thomas Fire, for example: Slower wind, less oxygen per second - slower fire front expansion and firebrand casting speed.

Windbreaks - Emberbreaks
Especially for people affected by the Palisades Fire and Eaton Fire - Also funding sources / maps below:

Although your property may have been damaged by a large wildfire, the exact initial burning point may give you a clue to determine whether there was a hazardous source of fuel that could possibly have been neglected and otherwise neutralized through routine maintenace beforehand, for example. Wind and embers may have found a vulnerable side of your property that possibly may have been better protected by windbreaks on your property or possibly on your neighbor's property.

Although the pattern of destruction of a large percent of properties may look random, a more forensic investigation could show very likely the exact path of heat, winds, embers and flames and give a few indications of how many structures could have been spared with better fuel management, carefully placed windbreaks, safer fencing materials and clearance of obvious hazards of various types.

We presume some type of AI forensic analysis would allow perhaps a more quantifiable scientific analysis of this type. The dynamics of wind movement, speed, heat, embers, and fuel source contributions are well known and predictable, given the tools and appropriate algorithms. But for now, each homeowner should at least try to fortify his/her property by erecting windbreaks in obviously vulnerable areas, and avoiding or managing volatile fuels as much as possible. If an entire rebuild is necessary, most of the building standards today are much safer and potentially greener and more efficient, as well.


Forensic Clues
Just looking at the Palisades Fire Structure Status map reveals a general trend of more destruction beginning from the south beach area, then spreading up the fuel-laden slopes and accelerated even more by generous winds. However, if the origin was located near Skull Rock, with a higher altitude, the powerful Santa Ana Winds may be blamed for the ghastly destruction on the southern shoreline.

While this progressed, as reported by NBC only 8 hours later (6:18 p.m.) on a distant San Gabriel Mountains range, across the basin, the Eaton Fire Structure Status map indicates the greater damage starting from the north, then rambling downward along the rapid Santa Ana wind path. But, let's not expect the next wildlands fire to necessarily follow the same patterns. Some fires even create their own windy tornadoes.

Are You Ready for Climate Change?

Water Pressure

If you can't see a large water tank or reservoir in your foothills neighborhood, you may be in trouble. The water system that supplies neighborhoods simply doesn’t have the capacity to deliver such large volumes of water over several hours, said Martin Adams, former general manager of the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, as reported to the LA times. It's too windy for aircraft to drop heavenly water on your house, and your garden hose only spouts a drizzle. Even the fire trucks are desperately looking for a fire hydrant with adequate pressure.

Water Tanks

This is not a new problem, but the climate changes continue in the wrong direction. Without new water tanks in higher altitudes, you can only hope that pumps will be upgraded to provide more pressure to higher altitudes. But what if the power also is degraded in an emergency? Will that also cripple the water pressure? They may place tanks on mountain crests, but how will you know if they are filled each day? This is the time to get good answers to these questions before we reconstruct another disaster. If the main utilities can't adequately fix this problem, is there some way the homeowners or developers can provide their own water tanks and water supplies? Live off the grid? Solar power, wells, septic systems?

Agricultural Sprinkler Systems

Do we also need agricultural sprinkler systems for dangerous brush, grass and forests on nearby hillsides? How else do we protect our homes and our families when we have seen the failure of aircraft to effectively drop water and retardants during Santa Ana winds? Do we have an answer to the winds? Climate change? Averaging close to 10,000 wildfires per year since 1987, and increasing, the consistent California historical wildfires statistics are a reality, regardless of climate changes or technological innovations. It’s time to either significantly reduce the rates of destruction and fatalities with new strategies, or steer our housing placement standards to safer locations. Now. Economic suicide, unnecessary.

Rick Caruso – Extra Care
The Palisades Village, owned by developer Rick Caruso, also suffered some damages from the fire, but fire-resistant materials and private firefighters managed to prevent complete structure losses, as reported by Spectrum News 1 Due to a lack of water pressure, he also secured several private fire trucks with water tanks which he offered to help the fire department, as well. Caruso complained, “The reservoirs went dry. The fire hydrants didn’t work. We have an underfunded fire department,” he said. “The city should have been ready.”

Steadfast LA
Caruso says he and his family lost multiple homes but felt extremely blessed to have escaped unharmed. To help expedite rebuilding, he launched Steadfast LA, the first non-profit rebuild initiative – expanding housing choices for fire survivors. This initiative is meant to offer a no-cost lifeline to low-income wildfire victims who lost homes they owned and would otherwise be forced to leave the property they have lived on for years because the cost to rebuild is too high and insurance will not cover it. Additional rebuilding options are also linked below.

Reservoir Empty
Bad timing, deadly impacts, the 117-million-gallon reservoir was off line for repairs. The Times reported early Wednesday that numerous fire hydrants in higher-elevation streets of the Palisades went dry, leaving crews struggling with low water pressure as they combated the flames. Litigation and accountability in progress, this nonetheless begs the question: Do we need additional reserve water tanks assuming catastrophes happen? Do you see water tanks or reservoirs with ample water above in your hillsides?

US Water Reservoirs Are Shrinking and Becoming Less Reliable
As reported by AGU (22 August 2024): Climate change is decreasing water level extremes in reservoirs across the country. Longer and more severe periods of low storage threaten critical water supplies. Major water reservoirs across the continental United States are experiencing longer, more severe, and more variable periods of low storage than several decades ago, a new study reports. The problems are most severe in the western and central United States, but reservoirs in the eastern and southeastern United States are not immune, the study finds. Overall, reservoirs are less reliable and more vulnerable to climate change than they used to be.

DWP Infrastructure Plans
The DWP Infrastructure Plans cover a two-year overlapping period and include plans for

Here we report on the Reservoirs and Tanks that more likely bear on hillside residential communities dependent on water tanks for adequate water supply and pressure.

DWP Water Reservoirs and Tanks Policy 2023-24
As declared in the 2023-24 DWP Water Infrastructure Plan: Within the Los Angeles basin, LADWP operates ten major active reservoirs and over 107 smaller storage facilities, all of which create operational flexibility to balance water supplies and customer demands… Similar to the in-city reservoirs, storage tanks provide the needed daily and emergency supplies for the community. Steel and concrete storage tanks have capacity ranging from 9,000 gallons to 30 million gallons, and their typical useful life is 60 years and 100 years, respectively.

Eagle Rock, Elysian, Lower Franklin No. 2, Green Verdugo, Santa Ynez, Upper Stone Canyon, and Lower Van Norman Bypass are protected with a floating membrane or roof; Headworks East and Headworks West are buried structures; and Los Angeles Reservoir utilizes shade balls and ultraviolet (UV) disinfection.

Additionally, the following six large reservoirs are no longer in-service but contain non-potable water for emergency use: Encino, Upper Hollywood, Lower Hollywood, Ivanhoe, Silver Lake, and Lower Stone Canyon.

Objectives for in-city reservoirs and tanks include:
2022-23 Achievements
  • Placed Headworks West Reservoir in-service.
  • Completed installation and obtained final approval by the California Department of Water Resources, Division of Safety of Dams for the Green Verdugo Floating Cover Replacement Project.
Long-Term Goals
  • Construct De Soto Tank.
  • Replace Elysian Park Tank.
  • Replace Solano Reservoir.
(2024-25 DWP Infrastructure Plan)

2023-24 Achievement
  • Completed planning of the Solano Reservoir Replacement Project
2024-25 Goals
  • Repair Santa Ynez Reservoir cover
  • Complete seismic assessment of the Eagle Rock Reservoir Seismic Improvement Project Long-Term Goals
Long-Term Goals
  • Construct De Soto Tank in Chatsworth
  • Replace Elysian Park Tank
  • Replace Solano Reservoir in Elysian Park
Analysis
Our analysis of these plans, objectives and achievements evokes a positive expectation for the potential within DWP to plan and execute additional layers of emergency water reserves capacity and flexibility for major emergencies in particular. Assuming bilateral responsibility to coordinate more directly with fire departments in novel ways to distribute water sprinkler systems with automatic and smart controls will be an initial challenge for all involved. Coordination with ALERTCalifornia at the micro-level will also be existential.

An innovative pilot model fresh off the planning charts will also need careful testing and eventually fire drills involving real residents who may have to practice evacuations and involvement in different ways. Objective: necessary functional training and the sense of confidence in this new way of surviving and adapting to Climate 2. It was science that helped to pollute our skies with the technology we use to harness our fossil fuels. Even more science and careful planning will be needed now to help clean up our excessive exploitations and somehow adapt successfully during these challenging times.

Emergency Water Reserves Tanks Policy
Just like bank reserves policies, where each bank depository institution must keep a specified percentage of cash in reserves, each hillside development water supply with reservoirs or water tanks, must also keep an ample emergency water reserve tank in a superior position to provide additional water pressure when needed in emergencies. If pertinent policies for such are not currently prescribed, this math should be based on catastrophic safety. Through gravitational rotation, no water will be wasted. In some ways, this system may be more efficient due to more flexible pumping times for the superior reserve tanks, which tanks will supply subordinate tanks.

Ventura County AB 367
In February, 2025, Assemblymember Steve Bennett (D-Ventura) introduced AB 367 to increase the performance of fire hydrants supplying water to Ventura County firefighters in their battles against wildfires. The legislation raises baseline standards of emergency preparedness for water districts servicing homes in high fire risk areas of Ventura County as mapped by Cal FIRE.

The bill requires water districts to:
  1. top off their water tanks after notification from Ventura County Emergency Services,
  2. ensure prompt backup power is available to keep pumps working after power shutoffs, and
  3. fire harden appropriate water pumps and backup generators.
The text of this bill provides, in part:
This bill would require a water district that supplies water to more than 20 residential dwellings that is used for the suppression of fire in either a high or very high risk fire hazard severity zone in the County of Ventura to have a backup energy source with sufficient power to promptly operate wells and pumps servicing the high or very high risk hazard severity zone at normal capacity for at least 24 hours in the case of a power shutoff unless the relevant water delivery systems are gravity fed and do not need any backup power to continue to operate during a power shutoff.

This bill applies only to Ventura County and would provide that no reimbursement is required by this act for a specified reason. We see this as a positive move in the right direction and we hope that the sponsors would also consider adding additional superior emergency water tanks that once filled will provide the needed water pressure for subordinate tanks and hydrants below even without functional pumps. Larger tanks for greater pressure and extended supply.

Using this Ventura bill as a model for Los Angeles County, for example, the bill may contain additional provisions for:
a water district, or a specific supply area within the district, that supplies water to more than 50 residential dwellings that is used for the suppression of fire in either a high or very high risk fire hazard severity zone in the County of Los Angeles to provide an additional superior emergency water tank or reservoir of adequate capacity to supply the needed water and pressure for both fire hydrants and residents for at least 5 days.

In addition, either the water district or fire department or both shall collaborate to provide the suitable proactive infrastructure for an automated and smart exterior sprinkler system surrounding the residential community to suppress flames and firebrands approaching from any and all directions with the goal of Quick Wildfire Quench (24 hours, 10 acres).


Last year’s November 2024 Mountain Fire in Ventura County sparked the morning of Wednesday, Nov. 6, and exploded to more than 20,000 acres within two days, fueled by powerful Santa Ana winds and extremely low humidity. It started near Balcom Canyon Road and Bradley Road, on South Mountain in the Moorpark area, according to the Ventura County Fire Department. It had spread to 1,000 acres within the first hour, as reported by CBS News. Our proposed Quick Wildfire Quench with iWOW sprinklers may help to better get ahead of such losses in the future.

Cal FIRE FHSZ Map
A Cal FIRE Fire Hazard Severity Zones (FHSZ) map provides comparisons of FHSZ areas for 2007 and 2022-23. By default, 2023 Fire Hazard Severity Zones are on the left side of the screen and not transparent. 2007 Fire Hazard Severity Zones are on the right side, and much more transparent. Notice that many high fire areas have expanded over the years. Some yellow areas for 2007 become orange or red in 2023. Slide the map sideways in either direction on your screen to see the comparison. Various base maps can also be applied. This may be helpful if your county is considering new policies like the Ventura County bill AB 367. Leaders in Los Angeles County, Districts 3 and 5 may find these comparisons particularly informative.

NEWS FLASH: Two new versions of the latest map for 2025 are now available as of March 2025: FHSZ 2025 With Comparisons and FHSZ 2025 Without Comparisons. Yes, as expected: The changes add 247,000 acres to the “very high” hazard category and introduce 1.16 million acres into the “high” hazard category.

Not in California? You can also explore your land’s Wildfire Risk in any US state by using interactive maps from Wildfire Risk to Communities. Land developers start here! Where is the nearest wildfire risk to you? (Hint: Found in every state!)

San Francisco Emergency Firefighting Water System
Following an earthquake, the San Francisco Emergency Firefighting Water System is vital for protecting against the loss of life, as well as the loss of homes and businesses by providing an additional layer of fire protection. The system is also used throughout the year for the suppression of multiple-alarm fires. The system delivers water at high pressure and includes two pump stations, two storage tanks, one reservoir, and approximately 135 miles of pipes. The system includes 52 suction connections along the northeastern waterfront, which allow fire engines to pump water from San Francisco Bay, and two fireboats that supply seawater by pumping into any of the five manifolds connected to pipes.

Cities along the coast, like Los Angeles or San Diego, can also look at San Francisco as a model for utilizing ocean water for emergencies, as long as you include redundant power and pumping resources.

LADWP welcomes review
As reported by Los Angeles Daily News: In a Jan. 11 statement, LADWP stressed that the water system serving “the Pacific Palisades area and all of the Los Angeles meets all federal and state fire codes for urban development and housing.”

“As we face the impacts of climate change and build climate resilience, we welcome a review and update of these codes and requirements if city water systems will be used to fight extreme wildfires,” the statement reads. “LADWP is initiating our own investigation about water resiliency and how to enhance our posture to respond to the impacts of climate change.”

LADWP was required to take the Santa Ynez Reservoir offline to comply with safe drinking water regulations while the city put a project to repair its cover out to bid early last year, documents showed.

We propose mandated adequate water pressure for all fire hydrants and homes for all seasons and emergencies. Plan ahead for WUI developments expansions. An investment of millions to save billions.

Our state, county, city and utilities should also plan ahead for water needs for homeless folks kicked off of city sidewalks. If we can't prevent expanding populations with inadequate means, we need to carefully be ready and plan accordingly, beyond water and housing. Defensive planning beyond the intentional mission and budget. Life happens. This is Los Angeles.

Climate Adaptation Actions for Water Utilities
We’ve also learned the hard way that taking reservoirs off line for any reason may require immediate balance from adequate sources. Planning and reporting must be assumed at the top level along with formal documentation. The United States EPA has also published Adaptation Actions for Water Utilities Last updated on December 10, 2024:
The adaptation strategies provided below are intended to inform and assist communities in identifying potential alternatives. They are illustrative and are presented to help communities consider possible ways to address anticipated current and future climate threats to contaminated site management. Just in time for people in our shoes, including these actions:

Adaptation Actions
Examples from Adaptation Actions
  • Diversify options for water supply and expand current sources
    Diversifying sources helps to reduce the risk that water supply will fall below water demand. Examples of diversified source water portfolios include using a varying mix of surface water and groundwater, employing desalination when the need arises and establishing water trading with other utilities in times of water shortages or service disruption.
  • Increase water storage capacity
    Increased drought can reduce the safe yield of reservoirs. To reduce this risk, increases in available storage can be made. Methods for accomplishing this may include raising a dam, practicing aquifer storage and recovery, removing accumulated sediment in reservoirs or lowering water intake elevation.
  • Plan and establish alternative or on-site power supply
    Water utilities are one of the major consumers of electricity in the United States. With future electricity demand forecasted to grow, localized energy shortages may occur. The development of "off-grid" sources can be a good hedging strategy for electricity shortfalls. Moreover, redundant power supply can provide resiliency for situations in which natural disasters cause power outages. On-site sources can include solar, wind, inline microturbines and biogas (i.e., methane from wastewater treatment). New and back-up electrical equipment should be located above potential flood levels.
  • Update fire models and practice fire management plans
    Fire frequency and severity may change in the future, therefore it is important to develop, practice and regularly update management plans to reduce fire risk. Controlled burns, and invasive plant control help to reduce risk in wildfire-prone areas.
  • Encourage and support practices to reduce water use at local power plants
    The electricity sector withdraws the greatest amount of water in the United States, compared with other sectors. Any efforts to reduce water usage by utilities (e.g., closed-loop water circulation systems or dry cooling for the turbines) will increase available water supply. For example, utilities may provide reclaimed water to electric utilities for electricity generation.
  • Manage reservoir water quality
    Changes in precipitation and runoff timing, coupled with higher temperatures due to climate change, may lead to diminished reservoir water quality. Reservoir water quality can be maintained or improved by a combination of watershed management, to reduce pollutant runoff and promote groundwater recharge and reservoir management methods, such as lake aeration
  • Conduct climate change impacts and adaptation training
    An important step in developing an adaptation program is educating staff on climate change. Staff should have a basic understanding of the projected range of changes in temperature and precipitation, the increase in the frequency and magnitude of extreme weather events for their region and how these changes may affect the utility's assets and operations. Preparedness from this training can improve utility management under current climate conditions as well.
  • Develop emergency response plans
    Emergency response plans (ERPs) outline activities and procedures for utilities to follow in case of an incident, from preparation to recovery. Some of the extreme events considered in ERPs may change in their frequency or magnitude due to changes in climate, which may require making changes to these plans to capture a wider range of possible events.
Another useful document from the EPA is Climate Impacts on Water Utilities. Last updated on July 15, 2024.

Dedicated Memorial Water Tanks
A few years ago, the North Coast County Water District (Pacifica, California) dedicated the 3.75 million gallon Steve Hyden Memorial Water Tank. A bronze plaque was mounted at the site. In Clearwater, Florida, a dedication ceremony for two new public art murals on large water tanks took place in 2024 at Clearwater Public Utilities. Many beautiful styles to choose from. Just to be safe, in Los Angeles County, it looks like we’re going to need at least a dozen or more new water tanks for reserve water pressure. ASAP.





tank muraal art

How about dedicating each new water tank as a memorial to a victim of our fire storms? Let’s also decorate each tank with beautiful art murals graced with inspiration by the life of the deceased? Names and dates will also be included on the murals to be seen from afar, never to be forgotten. Of course, the family survivors of these victims would play a large part on the design of the memorial, and only if they so request for this public recognition.

If you live in Los Angeles County, here we provide an email link to share with your County Supervisor your concerns about the need for emergency reserve water tanks in your district especially to support the Quick Wildfire Quench (QWQ) goal . Perhaps you may also wish to nominate a fire storm victim for a water tank memorial? If you wish, you can also copy and paste one or two of your favorite paragraphs from this proposal to juice up your email message? Be sure to tell California Assembly delegates about the Ventura County Bill AB 367 and ways to improve this for Los Angeles.

Los Angeles County share your concerns: